Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 40.604120 46.271649 52.477078 59.780950 68.149599 77.446974 88.571259
2024-12-15 35.833186 44.055586 53.787364 66.178164 81.569818 100.105949 124.192570
2024-12-22 31.252475 41.165683 53.760560 70.994496 94.057532 123.989337 166.001170
2024-12-29 28.187248 39.620153 55.152137 77.911914 110.617833 156.228812 225.207923
2025-01-05 24.660688 36.835284 54.447393 81.978735 124.305927 187.523180 290.227743
2025-01-12 20.863757 32.977175 51.558539 82.421126 132.989276 213.582605 353.769739
2025-01-19 17.960049 29.941801 49.367587 83.545839 143.054389 243.989171 431.510414
2025-01-26 16.244063 28.505269 49.473845 88.483790 160.541146 290.429489 547.883876
2025-02-02 14.900333 27.455126 50.047743 94.389989 181.096179 346.868946 696.818638
2025-02-09 13.294819 25.636644 48.927981 96.995770 196.166281 396.630396 845.951486
2025-02-16 11.525207 23.180930 46.170899 95.891773 203.756185 433.514736 978.500308
2025-02-23 10.060498 21.059833 43.684932 94.852369 211.322283 472.213391 1125.830024
2025-03-02 8.909347 19.418963 41.975574 95.359726 222.988035 523.999148 1321.812876
2025-03-09 8.034644 18.214406 40.987528 97.335269 238.701940 589.500553 1572.624012
2025-03-16 7.184346 16.906543 39.531407 97.943418 251.424002 651.383466 1834.442746
2025-03-23 6.667426 16.283423 39.557961 102.255707 274.817373 747.206319 2222.910366
2025-03-30 6.038440 15.268064 38.445050 103.424916 290.265303 826.158205 2589.462200
2025-04-06 5.311479 13.867411 36.097044 100.776112 294.485636 874.825860 2879.743867
2025-04-13 4.754288 12.806137 34.432663 99.682634 303.074093 939.129852 3244.994956
2025-04-20 4.459753 12.402474 34.474635 103.601097 328.146646 1062.223938 3860.055843
2025-04-27 4.237302 12.159503 34.925167 108.901128 359.221714 1214.479522 4641.260180
2025-05-04 3.917442 11.573674 34.271152 110.604044 378.957459 1334.563024 5347.967215
2025-05-11 3.518747 10.677334 32.516170 108.326155 384.423539 1406.070757 5889.100034